Tennis · M15 Budapest · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Karol Filar vs John Sperle
Team pages: Karol Filar · John Sperle
Prediction summary
Winner
Karol Filar
John Sperle
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Karol Filar
4-6 (W-L)
John Sperle
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karol Filar 1521 · John Sperle 1578
| Karol Filar | John Sperle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours John Sperle (rating 1521 vs 1578).
Statistics
| Karol Filar | John Sperle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.5 | 12.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karol Filar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Matyas Cerny M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Jan Sadzik M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Uladzislau Tarasevich M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Tomas Lanik M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 26/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Adam Majchrzak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
John Sperle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Pecs |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/08 | Stepan Baum M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Kolos Kincses M15 Pecs |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Tomas Lanik M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Rafael Giotis M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Amit Vales Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karol Filar vs John Sperle?
Our model gives 62% to John Sperle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.