Tennis · M15 Budapest · 08/09, 11:30
Prediction: Matteo Fondriest vs Heorhii Shylov
Team pages: Matteo Fondriest · Heorhii Shylov
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Fondriest
Heorhii Shylov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Fondriest
3-7 (W-L)
Heorhii Shylov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Fondriest 1461 · Heorhii Shylov 1508
| Matteo Fondriest | Heorhii Shylov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heorhii Shylov (rating 1461 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Matteo Fondriest | Heorhii Shylov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.4 | 10.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Fondriest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Giovanni Boi M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Oskar Grzegorzewski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ben Stecker M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Weis M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Heorhii Shylov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Alex Huszar M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Florian Zimmer M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Nico Hipfl M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Fondriest vs Heorhii Shylov?
Our model gives 67% to Heorhii Shylov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.