Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunold

Team pages: Miguel Damas · Mika Brunold

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Miguel Damas Mika Brunold
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Damas 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWWL
Mika Brunold 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Miguel Damas 3–1 Mika Brunold (4 last)
  • 21 Jul0-2 1-12L
  • 30 Apr2-0 12-4W
  • 19 Apr2-0 12-6W
  • 18 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miguel Damas 1494 · Mika Brunold 1552
Miguel DamasMika Brunold
Our model42%58%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1494 vs 1552).
  • Mika Brunold is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Miguel Damas 3–1 Mika Brunold (4).

Statistics

Miguel DamasMika Brunold
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.4-0.7
Games (G-P)10-13.311.7-9.7
Aces1.32.4
Double faults2.92.7
1st serve %56.1%69.4%
Break %38%47.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

H2H · Miguel Damas 31 Mika Brunold (4)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Miguel Damas 31 Mika Brunold

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/07/26
Challenger Zug
0-21-12L
30/04/26
Challenger Mauthausen
2-012-4W
19/04/26
Challenger Rome
2-012-6W
18/09/25
Challenger Targu Mures
2-012-4W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miguel Damas

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
03/09 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 17-17 W
01/09 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 15-16 W
26/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
24/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/08 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
26/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
21/07 Mika Brunold
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Thomas Faurel
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-1 16-16 W

Mika Brunold

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
06/09 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
25/08 Raphael Perot
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/08 Liam Gavrielides
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/08 Ergi Kirkin
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
20/08 Dominic Stephan Stricker
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
19/08 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
18/08 Patrick Zahraj
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
27/07 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunold?

Our model gives 59% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.