Tennis · WTA Antalya · 09/09, 08:00

Prediction: Samira De Stefano vs Eva Vedder

Team pages: Samira De Stefano · Eva Vedder

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Samira De Stefano Eva Vedder
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Samira De Stefano 10-0 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Eva Vedder 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWLL
Head-to-head
Samira De Stefano 0–1 Eva Vedder (1 last)
  • 18 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samira De Stefano 1618 · Eva Vedder 1508
Samira De StefanoEva Vedder
Our model65%35%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samira De Stefano (rating 1618 vs 1508).
  • Samira De Stefano is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Samira De Stefano 0–1 Eva Vedder (1).

Statistics

Samira De StefanoEva Vedder
Win %90%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.31.3-0.9
Games (G-P)12.1-69.8-10
Aces0.71.2
Double faults2.32.6
1st serve %69.4%61.6%
Break %52.7%40.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

H2H · Samira De Stefano 01 Eva Vedder (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Samira De Stefano 01 Eva Vedder

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/09/24
W35 Santa Margherita
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samira De Stefano

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Ilay Yoruk
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
06/09 Adrienn Nagy
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
30/08 Anja Stankovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
29/08 Maria Golovina
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
28/08 Lea Boskovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Ekaterina Perelygina
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Natalija Senic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
21/08 Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-14 L
20/08 Miriam Bulgaru
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Antonia Rivera
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W

Eva Vedder

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Bianca Andreescu
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/08 Sohyun Park
W50 Hamburg
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Mona Barthel
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 9-16 L
19/07 Georgina Garcia-Perez
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
16/07 Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Francesca Pace
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
12/07 Lea Boskovic
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Alena Kovackova
W75 The Hague
2-0 14-11 W
10/07 Gina Feistel
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Weronika Falkowska
W75 The Hague
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samira De Stefano vs Eva Vedder?

Our model gives 69% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.