Tennis · W15 Campulung · 09/09, 08:30
Prediction: Simona Ogescu vs Kristyna Paul
Team pages: Simona Ogescu · Kristyna Paul
Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Ogescu
Kristyna Paul
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Ogescu
7-3 (W-L)
Kristyna Paul
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Ogescu 1561 · Kristyna Paul 1512
| Simona Ogescu | Kristyna Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simona Ogescu (rating 1561 vs 1512).
- Note: Simona Ogescu makes many double faults (6.5/match).
- Note: Kristyna Paul makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Simona Ogescu | Kristyna Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10 | 10-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 65.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Ogescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Alesia Breaz W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Joulia Cristiana Cirstea W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Ana Ioana Varsa W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Maria Sara Popa W15 Brasov |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Valentina Abril Bruno W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Valentina Abril Bruno W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Veronika Kulhava W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Kristyna Paul
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Sara Cozma W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Yelizaveta Trush W15 Brasov |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Virginia Proietti W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Emily Seibold W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Lan Mi W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/11 | Sandeepti Singh Rao W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/11 | Anna Kubareva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/11 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/11 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Ogescu vs Kristyna Paul?
Our model gives 67% to Simona Ogescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.