Tennis · W15 Dijon · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Seda Baslilar vs Diana Marcinkevica

Team pages: Seda Baslilar · Diana Marcinkevica

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Seda Baslilar Diana Marcinkevica
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Seda Baslilar 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWL
Diana Marcinkevica 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seda Baslilar 1468 · Diana Marcinkevica 1536
Seda BaslilarDiana Marcinkevica
Our model40%60%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Marcinkevica (rating 1468 vs 1536).
  • Diana Marcinkevica dominates on serve: 6 aces and 66.5% break avg.
  • Note: Seda Baslilar makes many double faults (6.6/match).
  • Note: Diana Marcinkevica makes many double faults (7.5/match).

Statistics

Seda BaslilarDiana Marcinkevica
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.2-1
Games (G-P)8.4-9.510.6-9.6
Aces0.66
Double faults6.67.5
1st serve %59.3%65.5%
Break %48.2%66.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seda Baslilar

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 7-12 L
30/08 Olivia Gram
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-10 W
02/08 Alba Rey Garcia
W75 Koksijde
0-2 4-12 L
27/07 Aliesia Reva
W50 Dublin
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Lauren Dunne
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-4 W
20/07 Hena Cehajic
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
1-2 7-8 L
19/07 Leire De Ezcurra
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 11-10 W
06/07 Zoziya Kardava
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 8-13 L
05/07 Giulia Pereira De Aguiar
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-2 W
30/06 Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Diana Marcinkevica

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Jana Bojovic
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/09 Laura Boehner
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
04/09 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/09 Mariia Pryshchepa
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/09 Olga Molchanova
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
31/08 Laura Correia
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 17-10 W
26/08 Urszula Radwanska
W35 Verbier
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Ekaterina Yashina
W35 Verbier
0-2 7-13 L
16/08 Zejda Veljacic
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/08 Pippa Bosman
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 17-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seda Baslilar vs Diana Marcinkevica?

Our model gives 59% to Diana Marcinkevica, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.