Tennis · W15 Dijon · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Marine Szostak vs Warda Ait El Bachir

Team pages: Marine Szostak · Warda Ait El Bachir

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Marine Szostak Warda Ait El Bachir
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Marine Szostak 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWLLWWW
Warda Ait El Bachir 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marine Szostak 1500 · Warda Ait El Bachir 1527
Marine SzostakWarda Ait El Bachir
Our model46%54%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Marine Szostak makes many double faults (7.2/match).
  • Note: Warda Ait El Bachir makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Marine SzostakWarda Ait El Bachir
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.4-0.8
Games (G-P)10.6-10.111.3-8.6
Aces0.80.5
Double faults7.24.3
1st serve %57.9%64.6%
Break %44.8%57.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marine Szostak

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Romane Longueville
W15 Cap d'Agde
1-2 14-14 L
02/09 Kseniia Ruchkina
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 13-7 W
01/09 Sophie Luescher
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 18-15 W
16/06 Yushan Shao
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Mathilde Lollia
W35 Nice
0-2 7-12 L
09/06 Alice Iozzi
W35 Nice
2-0 13-7 W
08/06 Esma-Nur Dodooglu
W35 Nice
2-0 12-3 W
01/06 Aysegul Mert
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
14/05 Shannon Lam
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/05 Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Warda Ait El Bachir

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Victoria Brand
W15 Haren
0-2 9-13 L
21/08 Lisa Claeys
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
1-2 14-15 L
20/08 Galatea Ferro
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-9 W
19/08 Johanna Silva
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-7 W
18/08 Tereza Tsybulska
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 12-3 W
30/07 Arina Bulatova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Ava Schueller
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/07 Andjelija Markovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
20/07 Anastasia Mozgaleva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Josy Daems
W75 The Hague
1-2 11-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marine Szostak vs Warda Ait El Bachir?

Our model gives 51% to Marine Szostak, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.