Tennis · W15 Yeongwol · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Onyu Choi
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura · Onyu Choi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Onyu Choi
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
6-4 (W-L)
Onyu Choi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1564 · Onyu Choi 1440
| Mutsumi Uemura | Onyu Choi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mutsumi Uemura (rating 1564 vs 1440).
- Mutsumi Uemura is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Onyu Choi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.9 | 6.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 48.1% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Sarah Mildren W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Ava Beck W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Onyu Choi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Naho Sato W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Anchisa Chanta W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Yingqun Sun W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Chenting Zhu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Kuai Jiananxi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Onyu Choi?
Our model gives 63% to Mutsumi Uemura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.