Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 08/09, 17:00

Prediction: Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Anna Blinkova

Team pages: Valentina Mediorreal Arias · Anna Blinkova

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Valentina Mediorreal Arias Anna Blinkova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Mediorreal Arias 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWL
Anna Blinkova 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentina Mediorreal Arias 1457 · Anna Blinkova 1468
Valentina Mediorreal AriasAnna Blinkova
Our model48%52%
Market4%96%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Valentina Mediorreal Arias makes many double faults (4.6/match).
  • Note: Anna Blinkova makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Valentina Mediorreal AriasAnna Blinkova
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.1-1.4
Games (G-P)8.9-10.811.1-12.2
Aces0.32.5
Double faults4.64.9
1st serve %49.1%60.6%
Break %49.7%48.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Porto Velho
0-2 2-12 L
03/09 Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Porto Velho
2-0 13-6 W
26/08 Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri
1-2 12-17 L
04/08 Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino
0-2 2-12 L
29/07 Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino
2-0 14-11 W
14/07 Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Alicia Reichel
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Ana Candiotto
W15 Rio Claro
1-2 11-16 L
07/07 Manuela Ferreira Banietti
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 12-1 W

Anna Blinkova

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Anna Kalinskaya
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
23/08 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
16/08 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
14/08 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 13-11 W
13/08 Eva Lys
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
12/08 Dominika Salkova
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/08 Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/08 Heather Watson
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/07 Sara Bejlek
WTA Prague · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
14/07 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Athens · Hard
1-2 10-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Anna Blinkova?

Our model gives 76% to Anna Blinkova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.