Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 08/09, 17:00
Prediction: Xiaodi You vs Claire Liu
Team pages: Xiaodi You · Claire Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiaodi You
Claire Liu
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xiaodi You
4-6 (W-L)
Claire Liu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiaodi You 1414 · Claire Liu 1508
| Xiaodi You | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Claire Liu (rating 1414 vs 1508).
- Claire Liu is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Xiaodi You | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-12.7 | 10.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 63% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiaodi You
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Natalija Senic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Francisca Jorge French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/05 | En Shuo Liang WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Heather Watson US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiaodi You vs Claire Liu?
Our model gives 72% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.