Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 08/09, 17:00
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
3-7 (W-L)
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emiliana Arango
1–0
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
(1 last)
- 26 Oct2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1475 · Maria Paulina Perez Garcia 1394
| Emiliana Arango | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 96% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emiliana Arango (rating 1475 vs 1394).
- Emiliana Arango is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Emiliana Arango 1–0 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia (1).
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.2-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.6 | 5.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 48.5% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Emiliana Arango 1 – 0 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emiliana Arango 1–0 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/16 ITF Women Pereira | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Xinyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Venus Williams WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lea Nilsson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Enola Chiesa W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Yuliana Lizarazo WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Yuliana Lizarazo ITF W50 Ibague |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Carolina Alves WTA Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Berta Bonardi ITF W15 Sao Joao da Boa Vista |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Maria Paulina Perez Garcia?
Our model gives 81% to Emiliana Arango, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.