Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney Women · 11/09, 02:30
Prediction: Rianna Alame vs Chiara Di Tommaso
Team pages: Rianna Alame
Prediction summary
Winner
Rianna Alame
Chiara Di Tommaso
Estimated games
17.2
Recent form · 10 last
Rianna Alame
8-2 (W-L)
Chiara Di Tommaso
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rianna Alame 1580 · Chiara Di Tommaso 1494
| Rianna Alame | Chiara Di Tommaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rianna Alame (rating 1580 vs 1494).
- Rianna Alame is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Chiara Di Tommaso makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Rianna Alame | Chiara Di Tommaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-4.9 | 7.6-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 56% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
17.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rianna Alame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Kai Ning Chanya Ng UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Emily Johnson UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Lucia Gale W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/06 | Destanee Aiava UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Isabella Crossman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ava-Monet Sycamore UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Chiara Di Tommaso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Emily Johnson UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Kai Ning Chanya Ng UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/05 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Naho Sato W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Polina Bershteyn W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/05 | Taleia Tuatao W15 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/03 | Elena Micic W35 Timaru |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Solymar Colling W35 Launceston |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/02 | Caitlin Baker W35 Burnie |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rianna Alame vs Chiara Di Tommaso?
Our model gives 72% to Rianna Alame, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.