Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 07/09, 17:00
Prediction: Elsa Jacquemot vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Team pages: Elsa Jacquemot · Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Elsa Jacquemot
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elsa Jacquemot
2-8 (W-L)
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elsa Jacquemot 1424 · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1508
| Elsa Jacquemot | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Ovcharenko (rating 1424 vs 1508).
- Ekaterina Ovcharenko is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Elsa Jacquemot | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-11.4 | 10.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Esha Velaga WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Stephanie Yakoff W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Savannah Broadus W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Tori Kinard W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Ankita Raina WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elsa Jacquemot vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 62% to Elsa Jacquemot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.