Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 07/09, 21:00
Prediction: Katrina Scott vs Varvara Lepchenko
Team pages: Katrina Scott · Varvara Lepchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Katrina Scott
Varvara Lepchenko
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Katrina Scott
4-6 (W-L)
Varvara Lepchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katrina Scott
1–1
Varvara Lepchenko
(2 last)
- 21 Feb0-2 7-12L
- 21 Oct2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katrina Scott 1459 · Varvara Lepchenko 1453
| Katrina Scott | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Katrina Scott | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-9 | 11.7-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Katrina Scott 1 – 1 Varvara Lepchenko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katrina Scott 1–1 Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 WTA Merida | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10/25 WTA Queretaro | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katrina Scott
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Mai Hontama W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yexin Ma W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Ellie Schoppe WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Sabastiani Leon WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Anna Petkovic WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katrina Scott vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Our model gives 54% to Katrina Scott, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.