Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 07/09, 18:30

Prediction: Carolina Alves vs Antonia Rivera

Team pages: Carolina Alves · Antonia Rivera

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Carolina Alves Antonia Rivera
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Alves 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWL
Antonia Rivera 2-8 (W-L)
WWLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Carolina Alves 2–0 Antonia Rivera (2 last)
  • 14 Jun2-1 17-16W
  • 07 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carolina Alves 1609 · Antonia Rivera 1436
Carolina AlvesAntonia Rivera
Our model73%27%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Alves (rating 1609 vs 1436).
  • Carolina Alves is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Carolina Alves 2–0 Antonia Rivera (2).

Statistics

Carolina AlvesAntonia Rivera
Win %80%30%
Win % · Clay 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.50.7-1.5
Games (G-P)11.5-6.88.2-10.7
Aces1.41
Double faults1.62.7
1st serve %68.8%54.7%
Break %50.7%52.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

H2H · Carolina Alves 20 Antonia Rivera (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Alves 20 Antonia Rivera

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DateSetsGamesRes.
14/06/26
W35 Cuiaba
2-117-16W
07/08/24
W35 Chacabuco
2-012-2W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carolina Alves

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Lan Mi
W35 Barueri
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
W35 Barueri
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe
W35 Barueri
2-0 12-4 W
02/08 Victoria Bosio
W35 Pergamino
2-1 16-11 W
01/08 Giorgia Pedone
W35 Pergamino
2-0 13-8 W
31/07 Fernanda Labrana
W35 Pergamino
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Isabella Barrera Aguirre
W35 Pergamino
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
W35 Pergamino
2-0 12-0 W
23/07 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
W75 Vacaria
0-2 8-13 L
23/07 Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
W75 Vacaria
2-0 12-5 W

Antonia Rivera

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Lidia Encheva
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Samira De Stefano
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
11/08 Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Kristina Penickova
W35 Southaven
0-2 7-13 L
30/07 Mayu Crossley
W35 Florence
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Krisha Mahendran
W35 Santa Fe
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Taylor Gruber
W35 Santa Fe
2-1 15-11 W
25/06 Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Chiara Di Genova
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Jennifer Rosa Dourado
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carolina Alves vs Antonia Rivera?

Our model gives 72% to Carolina Alves, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.