Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 10/09, 02:30
Prediction: Jera Staley vs James Girdler
Team pages: Jera Staley · James Girdler
Prediction summary
Winner
Jera Staley
James Girdler
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jera Staley
7-3 (W-L)
James Girdler
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jera Staley
1–0
James Girdler
(1 last)
- 25 Aug2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jera Staley 1558 · James Girdler 1397
| Jera Staley | James Girdler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jera Staley (rating 1558 vs 1397).
- Jera Staley is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jera Staley 1–0 James Girdler (1).
Statistics
| Jera Staley | James Girdler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.9 | 6.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Jera Staley 1 – 0 James Girdler (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jera Staley 1–0 James Girdler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/26 UTR Pro Gold Coast | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jera Staley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Cameron Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Jesse Gothelf UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | James Girdler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
James Girdler
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jera Staley vs James Girdler?
Our model gives 80% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.