Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 08/09, 04:00

Prediction: Jera Staley vs Jonas Hahn

Team pages: Jera Staley · Jonas Hahn

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Jera Staley Jonas Hahn
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jera Staley 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLL
Jonas Hahn 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWLWLL
Head-to-head
Jera Staley 0–3 Jonas Hahn (3 last)
  • 06 Jun0-2 6-12L
  • 12 Apr0-2 1-12L
  • 08 May0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jera Staley 1551 · Jonas Hahn 1438
Jera StaleyJonas Hahn
Our model66%34%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jera Staley (rating 1551 vs 1438).
  • Jera Staley is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Jera Staley 0–3 Jonas Hahn (3).
  • Note: Jonas Hahn makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Jera StaleyJonas Hahn
Win %70%20%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 20% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.70.6-1.7
Games (G-P)11.5-8.78.8-12
Aces4.72
Double faults3.36
1st serve %74.2%61.6%
Break %54.7%46.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

H2H · Jera Staley 03 Jonas Hahn (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jera Staley 03 Jonas Hahn

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DateSetsGamesRes.
06/06/26
UTR Pro Gold Coast
0-26-12L
12/04/26
UTR Pro Melbourne
0-21-12L
08/05/25
UTR Pro Craigieburn
0-210-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jera Staley

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Casey Hoole
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/08 Cody Atkinson
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-1 14-9 W
27/08 Jacob Cairncross
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
26/08 Kuma Ito
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 James Girdler
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/08 Eric Tripathi
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
22/08 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/08 Elijah Dikkenberg
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Alexey Shtengelov
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Clint Charles
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Jonas Hahn

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 James Girdler
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/08 Keishi Hashimoto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/08 Malek El-Qurneh
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
07/08 Marcus Schoeman
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/08 Jeremy Beale
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Sam Ryan Ziegann
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
1-2 10-12 L
04/08 Alec Gaudin
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Omar Jasika
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Jeremy Beale
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
15/06 Nikita Volonski
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jera Staley vs Jonas Hahn?

Our model gives 61% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.