Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 10/09, 02:10
Prediction: Dimitri Bagaric vs Alec Braund
Team pages: Dimitri Bagaric · Alec Braund
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitri Bagaric
Alec Braund
Estimated games
18.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitri Bagaric
1-9 (W-L)
Alec Braund
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitri Bagaric 1400 · Alec Braund 1443
| Dimitri Bagaric | Alec Braund | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Braund (rating 1400 vs 1443).
Statistics
| Dimitri Bagaric | Alec Braund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 11% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.7-11.6 | 7-10.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 51.3% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitri Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 10/01 | Chase Zhao UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/01 | Luke Cripps UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/01 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/12 | Evan Vasiliadis UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Alec Braund
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Derek Pham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitri Bagaric vs Alec Braund?
Our model gives 56% to Alec Braund, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.