Tennis · W15 Campulung · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Noa Krznaric vs Estella Jaeger
Team pages: Estella Jaeger
Prediction summary
Winner
Noa Krznaric
Estella Jaeger
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Noa Krznaric
4-6 (W-L)
Estella Jaeger
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noa Krznaric 1437 · Estella Jaeger 1556
| Noa Krznaric | Estella Jaeger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Estella Jaeger (rating 1437 vs 1556).
- Estella Jaeger is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Noa Krznaric makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Noa Krznaric | Estella Jaeger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-8.7 | 10.5-9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | – |
| Double faults | 5.2 | – |
| 1st serve % | 53.4% | – |
| Break % | 40.8% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noa Krznaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Adrienn Nagy W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 19/05 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Pia Petelinsek W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Izabela Heinzova ITF W15 Sibenik · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Nikol Nehria UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Pippa Bosman UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/09 | Fanny Pire UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Daniela Ciobanu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Estella Jaeger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Halle Pringle UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Khadija Adeniran UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Summer Yardley UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Leticia Romanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Olga Molchanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Emma Slavikova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Ellen Hirschi UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noa Krznaric vs Estella Jaeger?
Our model gives 57% to Estella Jaeger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.