Tennis · WTA Antalya · 07/09, 09:30
Prediction: Nastasja Schunk vs Tena Lukas
Team pages: Nastasja Schunk · Tena Lukas
Prediction summary
Winner
Nastasja Schunk
Tena Lukas
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nastasja Schunk
8-2 (W-L)
Tena Lukas
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nastasja Schunk
1–0
Tena Lukas
(1 last)
- 28 Aug2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nastasja Schunk 1617 · Tena Lukas 1555
| Nastasja Schunk | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nastasja Schunk (rating 1617 vs 1555).
- Head-to-head: Nastasja Schunk 1–0 Tena Lukas (1).
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Nastasja Schunk | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-7.8 | 11.7-9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Nastasja Schunk 1 – 0 Tena Lukas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nastasja Schunk 1–0 Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 W50 Oldenzaal | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nastasja Schunk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Ceylin Oz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Francesca Pace W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Tena Lukas W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Julia Koller W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Gaeul Jang W50 Prague |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Tena Lukas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Aya Akan WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Joy De Zeeuw W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Lola Giza W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Leticia Solakov W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Eva Bennemann W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Alexa Karatancheva W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nastasja Schunk vs Tena Lukas?
Our model gives 70% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.