Tennis · WTA Antalya · 08/09, 09:00
Prediction: Mia Ristic vs Lina Gjorcheska
Team pages: Mia Ristic · Lina Gjorcheska
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Ristic
Lina Gjorcheska
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Ristic
5-5 (W-L)
Lina Gjorcheska
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mia Ristic
1–1
Lina Gjorcheska
(2 last)
- 22 Nov2-0 14-12W
- 28 Sept1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Ristic 1593 · Lina Gjorcheska 1457
| Mia Ristic | Lina Gjorcheska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1593 vs 1457).
- Mia Ristic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lina Gjorcheska makes many double faults (9.6/match).
Statistics
| Mia Ristic | Lina Gjorcheska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.5 | 9.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 9.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Mia Ristic 1 – 1 Lina Gjorcheska (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mia Ristic 1–1 Lina Gjorcheska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/23 ITF W100 Valencia | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/09/23 ITF W40 Kursumlijska Banja | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ayana Akli US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Lina Gjorcheska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Mai Hontama US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Alena Kovackova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 04/08 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Francisca Jorge Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Angela Fita Boluda Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Ristic vs Lina Gjorcheska?
Our model gives 73% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.