Tennis · WTA Antalya · 08/09, 09:00

Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Raluca Georgiana Serban

Team pages: Francesca Jones · Raluca Georgiana Serban

Prediction summary
Winner
81% 19%
Francesca Jones Raluca Georgiana Serban
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Raluca Georgiana Serban 2-8 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Francesca Jones 1–1 Raluca Georgiana Serban (2 last)
  • 20 Feb2-0 14-11W
  • 07 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1593 · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1436
Francesca JonesRaluca Georgiana Serban
Our model71%29%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Jones (rating 1593 vs 1436).
  • Francesca Jones is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Francesca JonesRaluca Georgiana Serban
Win %90%30%
Win % · Hard 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.60.7-1.5
Games (G-P)12.6-8.79.5-11.3
Aces1.80.9
Double faults3.55.4
1st serve %67.7%62%
Break %62.6%55%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

H2H · Francesca Jones 11 Raluca Georgiana Serban (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Jones 11 Raluca Georgiana Serban

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DateSetsGamesRes.
20/02/19
ITF W25 Glasgow
2-014-11W
07/10/18
ITF Women Santa Margherita
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francesca Jones

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Iva Jovic
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
02/09 Magda Linette
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
28/08 Joanna Garland
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Mona Barthel
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
25/08 Nuria Brancaccio
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
31/07 Alice Rame
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
30/07 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/07 Chloe Paquet
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 13-6 W
26/07 Fiona Ferro
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
25/07 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Raluca Georgiana Serban

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Prague
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/07 Anastasia Bertacchi
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
14/07 Daria Kuczer
W75 Olomouc
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Lea Boskovic
W75 The Hague
0-2 6-11 L
25/06 Gina Feistel
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
23/06 Victoria Bosio
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/06 Mayar Sherif
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/06 Denisa Zoldakova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Raluca Georgiana Serban?

Our model gives 81% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.