Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 08/09, 10:00

Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Marvin Moeller

Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Marvin Moeller

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Maxim Mrva Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLWL
Marvin Moeller 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1583 · Marvin Moeller 1554
Maxim MrvaMarvin Moeller
Our model54%46%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Maxim MrvaMarvin Moeller
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.8-10.312.2-10.8
Aces3.34
Double faults4.43.2
1st serve %64.2%74.6%
Break %51.5%22%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maxim Mrva

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/09 Oleg Prihodko
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 19-13 W
20/08 Jan Kumstat
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
19/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Nerman Fatic
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
16/08 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/08 Alex Barrena
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
10/08 Pierluigi Basile
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-1 14-15 W
05/08 Guy Den Ouden
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Marvin Moeller

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Matias Soto
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/08 Jan Kumstat
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
15/08 Matej Dodig
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Niels McDonald
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 19-19 W
10/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
10/07 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Marvin Moeller?

Our model gives 57% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.