Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/09, 09:00
Prediction: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov
Team pages: Samir Hamza Reguig · Maxim Zhukov
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Prediction summary
Winner
Samir Hamza Reguig
Maxim Zhukov
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Samir Hamza Reguig
4-6 (W-L)
Maxim Zhukov
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samir Hamza Reguig
0–1
Maxim Zhukov
(1 last)
- 27 Feb1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samir Hamza Reguig 1477 · Maxim Zhukov 1551
| Samir Hamza Reguig | Maxim Zhukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxim Zhukov (rating 1477 vs 1551).
- Maxim Zhukov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Samir Hamza Reguig 0–1 Maxim Zhukov (1).
Statistics
| Samir Hamza Reguig | Maxim Zhukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11 | 12.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 70% |
| Break % | 37% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Samir Hamza Reguig 0 – 1 Maxim Zhukov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samir Hamza Reguig 0–1 Maxim Zhukov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/24 ITF M15 Kish Island | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samir Hamza Reguig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Piet Luis Pinter M15 Poprad |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Robert Guna M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M25 Bacau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Matei Marius Partal Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Maxim Zhukov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/03 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/03 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 21/03 | Evgeny Philippov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/03 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov?
Our model gives 64% to Maxim Zhukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.