Tennis · Challenger Seville · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Calvin Hemery
Team pages: Gilles Arnaud Bailly · Calvin Hemery
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Calvin Hemery
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
5-5 (W-L)
Calvin Hemery
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
0–1
Calvin Hemery
(1 last)
- 05 Oct1-2 13-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1465 · Calvin Hemery 1501
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gilles Arnaud Bailly 0–1 Calvin Hemery (1).
- Note: Calvin Hemery makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-9.7 | 12.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 0 – 1 Calvin Hemery (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 0–1 Calvin Hemery
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/23 Challenger Lisbon | 1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Fadi Bidan M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Calvin Hemery
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Eric Vanshelboim Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Daniel Michalski ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Calvin Hemery?
Our model gives 50% to Gilles Arnaud Bailly, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.