Tennis · Challenger Seville · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Raul Brancaccio
Team pages: Inaki Montes-De La Torre · Raul Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Raul Brancaccio
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
4-6 (W-L)
Raul Brancaccio
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1571 · Raul Brancaccio 1460
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inaki Montes-De La Torre (rating 1571 vs 1460).
- Inaki Montes-De La Torre is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Raul Brancaccio makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 11.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Raul Brancaccio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Thiago Seyboth Wild US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 10/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Raul Brancaccio?
Our model gives 62% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.