Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Franco Agamenone vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Franco Agamenone · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Agamenone
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Agamenone
4-6 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Franco Agamenone
1–0
Matej Dodig
(1 last)
- 19 May2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Agamenone 1419 · Matej Dodig 1615
| Franco Agamenone | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 76% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1419 vs 1615).
- Matej Dodig dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 47.9% break avg.
- Matej Dodig is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Franco Agamenone 1–0 Matej Dodig (1).
Statistics
| Franco Agamenone | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-15.6 | 13.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 79.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Franco Agamenone 1 – 0 Matej Dodig (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Franco Agamenone 1–0 Matej Dodig
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/25 Challenger Skopje | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Agamenone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Jack Loge Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Matej Dodig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Agamenone vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 80% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.