Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 07/09, 02:30
Prediction: Jera Staley vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Jera Staley · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Jera Staley
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jera Staley
8-2 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jera Staley 1587 · Casey Hoole 1603
| Jera Staley | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jera Staley | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-7.7 | 12.6-7.5 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 66.5% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | James Girdler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Harrison Gold UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Derek Pham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Alec Gaudin UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jera Staley vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 71% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.