Prediction: Maria Toma vs Sachia Vickery
Team pages: Maria Toma · Sachia Vickery
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Toma
Sachia Vickery
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Toma
4-6 (W-L)
Sachia Vickery
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Toma 1502 · Sachia Vickery 1433
| Maria Toma | Sachia Vickery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Toma (rating 1502 vs 1433).
- Maria Toma is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Maria Toma | Sachia Vickery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.6 | 6.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 50.8% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Toma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sevil Yuldasheva W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Xinyu Gao W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Aranai Martinez Quintana W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Nagi Hanatani W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W50 Horb |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Horb |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
Sachia Vickery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mia Slama W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Matilde Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
| 27/04 | Gabriela Lee W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 28/03 | Donna Vekic WTA Charleston · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Sarah Rokusek W35 Launceston |
0-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Cadence Brace WTA Merida · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/01 | Whitney Osuigwe W75 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/01 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Toma vs Sachia Vickery?
Our model gives 61% to Sachia Vickery, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.