Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 06/09, 10:00
Prediction: Maxime Janvier vs Thomas Fancutt
Team pages: Maxime Janvier · Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Janvier
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Janvier
4-6 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Janvier 1468 · Thomas Fancutt 1539
| Maxime Janvier | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Fancutt (rating 1468 vs 1539).
- Thomas Fancutt is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Maxime Janvier | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13.4 | 12.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 79% |
| Break % | 42% | 66% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Enmanuel Munoz Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Lincoln Battle M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Janvier vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 59% to Thomas Fancutt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.