Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 06/09, 11:30
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Nicolas Tepmahc
Team pages: Oskari Paldanius · Nicolas Tepmahc
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Nicolas Tepmahc
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolas Tepmahc
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1511 · Nicolas Tepmahc 1479
| Oskari Paldanius | Nicolas Tepmahc | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Nicolas Tepmahc | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12 | 10.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Nicolas Tepmahc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 17/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Rhys Lawlor Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Melih Anavatan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Udit Kamboj M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Nicolas Tepmahc?
Our model gives 62% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.