Tennis · WTA Antalya · 06/09, 10:00

Prediction: Ilay Yoruk vs Sandra Samir

Team pages: Ilay Yoruk · Sandra Samir

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Ilay Yoruk Sandra Samir
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ilay Yoruk 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLWW
Sandra Samir 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Ilay Yoruk 0–1 Sandra Samir (1 last)
  • 03 Aug1-2 12-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilay Yoruk 1531 · Sandra Samir 1434
Ilay YorukSandra Samir
Our model64%36%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilay Yoruk (rating 1531 vs 1434).
  • Ilay Yoruk is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Ilay Yoruk 0–1 Sandra Samir (1).
  • Note: Ilay Yoruk makes many double faults (6.3/match).
  • Note: Sandra Samir makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Ilay YorukSandra Samir
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.90.8-1.4
Games (G-P)10.8-8.48.7-10.8
Aces0.90.4
Double faults6.35.6
1st serve %62.3%55.7%
Break %62.5%48.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

H2H · Ilay Yoruk 01 Sandra Samir (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilay Yoruk 01 Sandra Samir

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DateSetsGamesRes.
03/08/22
ITF W25 Agadir
1-212-15L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilay Yoruk

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Maria Sara Popa
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
11/08 Noemi Maines
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
12/07 Varvara Panshina
WTA Istanbul · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
03/07 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L
02/07 Alisa Vasileva
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
01/07 Hana Shabanpour
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Lan Mi
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-12 L
18/06 Berrak Kocak
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Jannat Chiripal
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
14/06 Lan Mi
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Sandra Samir

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Polina Leykina
W35 Krakow
0-2 6-12 L
12/08 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W35 Bydgoszcz
1-2 7-16 L
29/07 Jule Niemeier
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 11-14 L
15/07 Dayeon Back
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Buzau
0-2 5-12 L
03/07 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
02/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Daniela Vismane
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
12/06 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Prathyusha Rachapudi
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilay Yoruk vs Sandra Samir?

Our model gives 52% to Ilay Yoruk, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.