Tennis · WTA Antalya · 06/09, 11:10
Prediction: Samira De Stefano vs Adrienn Nagy
Team pages: Samira De Stefano · Adrienn Nagy
Prediction summary
Winner
Samira De Stefano
Adrienn Nagy
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Samira De Stefano
9-1 (W-L)
Adrienn Nagy
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samira De Stefano
1–0
Adrienn Nagy
(1 last)
- 27 Aug2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samira De Stefano 1600 · Adrienn Nagy 1503
| Samira De Stefano | Adrienn Nagy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samira De Stefano (rating 1600 vs 1503).
- Samira De Stefano is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Samira De Stefano 1–0 Adrienn Nagy (1).
- Note: Adrienn Nagy makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Samira De Stefano | Adrienn Nagy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.1 | 12.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Samira De Stefano 1 – 0 Adrienn Nagy (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samira De Stefano 1–0 Adrienn Nagy
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/25 W35 Trieste | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samira De Stefano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Lea Boskovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Natalija Senic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Adrienn Nagy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Sophia Biolay W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Teodora Miron W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 22/08 | Jessica Pieri W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 20/08 | Mariia Drobysheva W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Juliana Singeorzan W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Anna Siskova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samira De Stefano vs Adrienn Nagy?
Our model gives 71% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.