Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 05/09, 17:30
Prediction: Sofiia Nagornaia vs Chelsea Bluestein
Team pages: Sofiia Nagornaia · Chelsea Bluestein
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofiia Nagornaia
Chelsea Bluestein
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sofiia Nagornaia
2-8 (W-L)
Chelsea Bluestein
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofiia Nagornaia 1420 · Chelsea Bluestein 1525
| Sofiia Nagornaia | Chelsea Bluestein | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea Bluestein (rating 1420 vs 1525).
- Chelsea Bluestein is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Chelsea Bluestein makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Sofiia Nagornaia | Chelsea Bluestein | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.8-10.5 | 10.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofiia Nagornaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daria Volosova UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Zoe Hitt UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Sebastianna Scilipoti UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Lina Glushko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Veronika Lutsenko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/04 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Aran Teixido Garcia W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Chelsea Bluestein
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Dominika Podhajecka UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Marina Skegro UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Perelman UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Marlene Foerster UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Ariane Lesterhuis UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Maia Loureiro UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Tia Clemens UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofiia Nagornaia vs Chelsea Bluestein?
Our model gives 61% to Chelsea Bluestein, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.