Tennis · UTR Pro Miami · 05/09, 21:10

Prediction: Alexander Bernard vs Salvador Price

Team pages: Alexander Bernard · Salvador Price

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Alexander Bernard Salvador Price
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bernard 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWWW
Salvador Price 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Bernard 1529 · Salvador Price 1572
Alexander BernardSalvador Price
Our model44%56%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salvador Price (rating 1529 vs 1572).

Statistics

Alexander BernardSalvador Price
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 100% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.5-1
Games (G-P)9.7-912-10.5
Aces0.70.9
Double faults3.41.9
1st serve %58.2%64%
Break %40.1%46.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Bernard

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Elie Elie Azoulay
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-0 10-7 W
02/09 Mattia Akcan
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
01/09 Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
31/08 Felix Felsmann
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/07 Michael Antonius
M15 Rochester
0-2 2-12 L
17/07 Ilija Palavestra
M15 Rochester
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 Daniel Kliebhan
M15 Rochester
2-1 15-9 W
24/06 Vuk Radjenovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/06 Vuk Radjenovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
16/06 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-0 6-4 W

Salvador Price

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Stefan Correa
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
03/09 Antonio Prat
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
02/09 Ashton Adesoro
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/09 Joseph Hernandez
UTR Pro Miami · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
06/08 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina
0-2 8-13 L
05/08 Jose Pereira
M25 Londrina
2-1 15-12 W
04/08 Tomas Jordi Leston
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M15 Sao Paulo
0-2 2-11 L
23/07 Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 13-18 L
22/07 Santiago Pesino
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Bernard vs Salvador Price?

Our model gives 55% to Alexander Bernard, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.