Tennis · M25 Meerbusch · 05/09, 11:00
Prediction: Adrian Oetzbach vs Bruno Fernandez
Team pages: Adrian Oetzbach · Bruno Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Oetzbach
Bruno Fernandez
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Oetzbach
7-3 (W-L)
Bruno Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Oetzbach 1576 · Bruno Fernandez 1464
| Adrian Oetzbach | Bruno Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Oetzbach (rating 1576 vs 1464).
- Adrian Oetzbach is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adrian Oetzbach | Bruno Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.9 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Oetzbach
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Lucio Ratti M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marc Majdandzic M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Marcel Hornung M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Manuel Plunger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Trier |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/08 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | David Fix M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Bruno Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Ruben Hartig M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Meerbusch |
1-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 25/08 | Hazem Naw M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Stefan Popovic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Niklas Schell M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Luca Castagnola M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Oetzbach vs Bruno Fernandez?
Our model gives 59% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.