Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang MD · 05/09, 09:10
Prediction: Nam/Park vs Charlton/Wang
Team pages: Nam/Park · Charlton/Wang
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Prediction summary
Winner
Nam/Park
Charlton/Wang
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nam/Park
9-1 (W-L)
Charlton/Wang
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nam/Park 1574 · Charlton/Wang 1636
| Nam/Park | Charlton/Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlton/Wang (rating 1574 vs 1636).
- Charlton/Wang dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Charlton/Wang is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nam/Park | Charlton/Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 2-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.5 | 14.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 80.3% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nam/Park
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Loof/Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang MD · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Cui/Dev Challenger Zhangjiagang MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Huang/Imamura Challenger Zhangjiagang MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/03 | Kusuhara/Nakagawa Challenger Yokkaichi MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-21 | L |
| 08/02 | Andreozzi/Gomez Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/01 | Charlton/Marrero Curbelo Challenger Phan Thiet MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/01 | Cook/Pearson Challenger Phan Thiet MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/01 | Bar Biryukov/Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/01 | Minh Phat Nguyen/Cuong Challenger Phan Thiet MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/01 | Trotter/Uesugi Challenger Phan Thiet MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-22 | L |
Charlton/Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Delaney/Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang MD · Hard |
2-1 | 24-22 | W |
| 03/09 | Papa/Zheng Challenger Zhangjiagang MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Kadhe/Yuzuki Challenger Zhangjiagang MD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 13/06 | Jin/Sun M15 Maanshan MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Casey Alcantara/Suksumrarn M15 Maanshan MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Liu/Yang M15 Maanshan MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Tang/Yang M15 Maanshan MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/04 | Hsu/Trongcharoenchaikul M25 Luzhou MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/04 | Liu/Yang M25 Luzhou MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Sueoka/Taguchi M25 Luzhou MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nam/Park vs Charlton/Wang?
Our model gives 51% to Charlton/Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.