Tennis · W15 Porto Velho · 04/09, 15:00
Prediction: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Team pages: Ana Sofia Sanchez · Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Prediction summary
Winner
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ana Sofia Sanchez
7-3 (W-L)
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ana Sofia Sanchez 1565 · Valentina Mediorreal Arias 1475
| Ana Sofia Sanchez | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Sofia Sanchez (rating 1565 vs 1475).
- Ana Sofia Sanchez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Valentina Mediorreal Arias makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ana Sofia Sanchez | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.2 | 9.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 49.2% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues W15 Porto Velho |
1-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 29/08 | Lan Mi W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Carolyn Ansari W35 Barueri |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Daria Egorova W35 Chacabuco |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Romina Ccuno W35 Barueri |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Lourdes Ayala W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Polina Kaibekova W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Alicia Reichel W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Ana Candiotto W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Manuela Ferreira Banietti W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias?
Our model gives 77% to Ana Sofia Sanchez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.