Prediction: Lourdes Ayala vs Maria Florencia Urrutia
Team pages: Lourdes Ayala · Maria Florencia Urrutia
Prediction summary
Winner
Lourdes Ayala
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lourdes Ayala
3-7 (W-L)
Maria Florencia Urrutia
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lourdes Ayala
0–4
Maria Florencia Urrutia
(4 last)
- 24 Sept0-2 8-13L
- 16 Sept0-2 3-12L
- 23 Feb0-2 4-12L
- 12 Feb0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lourdes Ayala 1487 · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1539
| Lourdes Ayala | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Florencia Urrutia (rating 1487 vs 1539).
- Head-to-head: Lourdes Ayala 0–4 Maria Florencia Urrutia (4).
- Note: Lourdes Ayala makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Lourdes Ayala | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-9.7 | 10.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 57% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Lourdes Ayala 0 – 4 Maria Florencia Urrutia (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lourdes Ayala 0–4 Maria Florencia Urrutia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/25 W15 Lujan | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09/25 W15 Lujan | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre Women | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre Women | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lourdes Ayala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Zoe Doldan W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre Others · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Luiza Fullana W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Lan Mi W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Sabrina Dias W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Luana Plaza W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Daria Egorova W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Maria Florencia Urrutia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Agustina Tarantola W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Josefina Estevez Others · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Camila Rodero W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Luciana Moyano W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Camila Romero W35 Pergamino |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Laura Pigossi W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Kailey Evans W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lourdes Ayala vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Our model gives 74% to Maria Florencia Urrutia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.