Tennis · W15 Badalona · 04/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ashley Lahey vs Lea Fojcik
Team pages: Ashley Lahey
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashley Lahey
Lea Fojcik
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ashley Lahey
5-5 (W-L)
Lea Fojcik
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashley Lahey 1532 · Lea Fojcik 1433
| Ashley Lahey | Lea Fojcik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashley Lahey (rating 1532 vs 1433).
- Ashley Lahey is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lea Fojcik makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Ashley Lahey | Lea Fojcik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.8 | 7.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 52% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashley Lahey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Lucia Natal W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Stefania Bojica W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Simona Cucu W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 16/06 | Sophie Luescher W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Mariia Makarova W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Lea Fojcik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Salma Djoubri W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 03/01 | Michelle Dzjachangirova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/01 | Sem Hazes UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/12 | Annika Barth UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/12 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/12 | Lucie Nouzova UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/12 | Xenia Bandurowska UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Natalia Klys UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/12 | Polina Leykina UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashley Lahey vs Lea Fojcik?
Our model gives 79% to Ashley Lahey, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.