Tennis · W15 Yeongwol · 04/09, 04:00
Prediction: Naho Sato vs Sae Noguchi
Team pages: Naho Sato · Sae Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Naho Sato
Sae Noguchi
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Naho Sato
4-6 (W-L)
Sae Noguchi
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Naho Sato
0–1
Sae Noguchi
(1 last)
- 16 Apr0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naho Sato 1480 · Sae Noguchi 1560
| Naho Sato | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sae Noguchi (rating 1480 vs 1560).
- Sae Noguchi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Naho Sato 0–1 Sae Noguchi (1).
Statistics
| Naho Sato | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.1 | 11.4-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Naho Sato 0 – 1 Sae Noguchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naho Sato 0–1 Sae Noguchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 W35 Miyazaki | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naho Sato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Onyu Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Viktoria Morvayova W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Lingyou Ge W15 Tianjin |
1-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 12/08 | Victoria Allen W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Mio Mushika W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Hiromi Abe W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Indianna Spink W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Linda Klimovicova W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Sae Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Gio Jang W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Junhan Zhang W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Anna Snigireva W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Shiho Tsujioka W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Nagisa Suzuki W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naho Sato vs Sae Noguchi?
Our model gives 52% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.