Tennis · Challenger Como · 04/09, 11:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Juan Pablo Varillas
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Juan Pablo Varillas
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Varillas
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1–3
Juan Pablo Varillas
(4 last)
- 19 Nov0-2 6-12L
- 01 Feb0-2 8-13L
- 02 Nov2-0 13-9W
- 26 Oct0-2 10-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1601 · Juan Pablo Varillas 1598
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Seyboth Wild 1–3 Juan Pablo Varillas (4).
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.2 | 12.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1 – 3 Juan Pablo Varillas (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1–3 Juan Pablo Varillas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/22 Challenger Sao Leopoldo | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/02/20 ATP Cordoba | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/11/19 Challenger Guayaquil | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10/19 Challenger Lima | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Raul Brancaccio US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Luka Pavlovic US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 26/07 | Stefan Latinov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Our model gives 59% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.