Tennis · W15 Monastir · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Riko Kikawada vs Yiru Chen
Team pages: Riko Kikawada
Prediction summary
Winner
Riko Kikawada
Yiru Chen
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Riko Kikawada
7-3 (W-L)
Yiru Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riko Kikawada 1533 · Yiru Chen 1454
| Riko Kikawada | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riko Kikawada (rating 1533 vs 1454).
- Riko Kikawada is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Yiru Chen makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Riko Kikawada | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.6-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 8.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riko Kikawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Elyse Tse W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniela Darta Feldmane W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Ying Zhang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Hinata Furutani W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Yiru Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Emna Mathlouthi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Liana Cammilleri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yu-Ning Tsai W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/05 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/04 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riko Kikawada vs Yiru Chen?
Our model gives 55% to Riko Kikawada, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.