Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 03/09, 04:00
Prediction: Joanna Garland vs Anastasia Kulikova
Team pages: Joanna Garland · Anastasia Kulikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Joanna Garland
Anastasia Kulikova
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Joanna Garland
3-7 (W-L)
Anastasia Kulikova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joanna Garland 1510 · Anastasia Kulikova 1592
| Joanna Garland | Anastasia Kulikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Kulikova (rating 1510 vs 1592).
- Anastasia Kulikova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Joanna Garland makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Anastasia Kulikova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Joanna Garland | Anastasia Kulikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 13-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 34% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joanna Garland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Priscilla Hon US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Leyre Romero Gormaz US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Celine Naef Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Britt Du Pree WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Anastasia Kulikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Xinxin Yao W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Savannah Broadus W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Thea Frodin W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Kristina Penickova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Alexandra Panagiotidou WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joanna Garland vs Anastasia Kulikova?
Our model gives 55% to Joanna Garland, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.