Tennis · M25 Casablanca · 02/09, 14:00
Prediction: Sam Kydd Baumgartner vs Niklas Schell
Team pages: Sam Kydd Baumgartner · Niklas Schell
Prediction summary
Winner
Sam Kydd Baumgartner
Niklas Schell
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sam Kydd Baumgartner
7-3 (W-L)
Niklas Schell
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sam Kydd Baumgartner 1528 · Niklas Schell 1474
| Sam Kydd Baumgartner | Niklas Schell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sam Kydd Baumgartner (rating 1528 vs 1474).
Statistics
| Sam Kydd Baumgartner | Niklas Schell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9 | 9.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sam Kydd Baumgartner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Robin Eldin M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Derek Muerner M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Tej Bhagra UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Aaron Hilsum UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Ammar Elamin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Atharva Sharma M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Fedor Dorokhov M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Niklas Schell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Bruno Fernandez M15 Trier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Lucas Ernst M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ilian Borlee M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Manuel Plunger M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sam Kydd Baumgartner vs Niklas Schell?
Our model gives 53% to Niklas Schell, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.