Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mathilde Lollia vs Maria Lourdes Carle
Team pages: Mathilde Lollia · Maria Lourdes Carle
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathilde Lollia
Maria Lourdes Carle
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mathilde Lollia
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Lourdes Carle
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathilde Lollia 1537 · Maria Lourdes Carle 1510
| Mathilde Lollia | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathilde Lollia makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Mathilde Lollia | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.1 | 9.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 51% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathilde Lollia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Liv Boulard W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Polina Skliar W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christina Bednarczyk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Pieri WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Emily Eigelsbach WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Kathinka Von Deichmann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathilde Lollia vs Maria Lourdes Carle?
Our model gives 63% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.