Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Nahia Berecoechea vs Justina Mikulskyte
Team pages: Nahia Berecoechea · Justina Mikulskyte
Prediction summary
Winner
Nahia Berecoechea
Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nahia Berecoechea
4-6 (W-L)
Justina Mikulskyte
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nahia Berecoechea 1512 · Justina Mikulskyte 1536
| Nahia Berecoechea | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nahia Berecoechea | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 10.6-11 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nahia Berecoechea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Sophia Biolay W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/08 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Gabriela Paun W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Justina Mikulskyte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Federica Urgesi W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Gina Feistel W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Weronika Ewald WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Michaela Bayerlova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nahia Berecoechea vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Our model gives 62% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.