Tennis · M15 Szczawno · 02/09, 15:00

Prediction: Piotr Galus vs Michael Agwi

Team pages: Piotr Galus · Michael Agwi

Prediction summary
Winner
19% 81%
Piotr Galus Michael Agwi
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Piotr Galus 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLW
Michael Agwi 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Piotr Galus 1456 · Michael Agwi 1619
Piotr GalusMichael Agwi
Our model28%72%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Agwi (rating 1456 vs 1619).
  • Michael Agwi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Piotr GalusMichael Agwi
Win %30%90%
Win % · Clay 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.41.8-0.5
Games (G-P)7.2-10.312-8.2
Aces0.45.3
Double faults2.44.3
1st serve %53.6%70.2%
Break %34.1%51.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Piotr Galus

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Przemyslaw Michocki
M15 Szczawno
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Stefan Popovic
M25 Maribor
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Artem Dzhurdzha
M25 Maribor
2-0 14-10 W
18/08 Jan Wygona
M15 Krakow
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Store
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Niccolo Baroni
M15 Store
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Khumoyun Sultanov
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
22/06 Ivan Sabanov
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
18/06 Jozef Kovalik
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
17/06 Ivan Biletic
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Michael Agwi

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Daniel Michalski
M15 Krakow
0-2 2-9 L
22/08 Pawel Juszczak
M15 Krakow
2-0 13-8 W
21/08 Wojciech Marek
M15 Krakow
2-1 17-12 W
20/08 Jan Hrazdil
M15 Krakow
2-0 8-3 W
19/08 Juliusz Bienkiewicz
M15 Krakow
2-0 13-9 W
16/08 Ziga Sesko
M15 Trier
2-0 12-3 W
15/08 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Trier
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Niklas Schell
M15 Trier
2-1 14-10 W
13/08 Maxime Chazal
M15 Trier
2-1 16-16 W
11/08 Amaury Raynel
M15 Trier
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Piotr Galus vs Michael Agwi?

Our model gives 81% to Michael Agwi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.