Tennis · M15 Madrid · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Pablo Aunion
Team pages: Juan Ignacio Gallego · Pablo Aunion
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Ignacio Gallego
Pablo Aunion
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Ignacio Gallego
4-6 (W-L)
Pablo Aunion
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1499 · Pablo Aunion 1487
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Pablo Aunion | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Pablo Aunion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.7 | 9.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 0 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Ignacio Gallego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Corentin Denolly M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Bien M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Luc Wieland M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Nocolas A Jara Lozano UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Santiago Lora UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Andres Medus UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Petr Iamachkine M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Pablo Aunion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Noah Regas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Keanu Elias Immler M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Hamish Stewart M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 17/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Maximilian Figl M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Pablo Aunion?
Our model gives 58% to Pablo Aunion, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.