Tennis · W15 Yeongwol · 02/09, 04:00
Prediction: Michika Ozeki vs Eun Ji Lee
Team pages: Michika Ozeki · Eun Ji Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Michika Ozeki
Eun Ji Lee
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Michika Ozeki
2-8 (W-L)
Eun Ji Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michika Ozeki 1443 · Eun Ji Lee 1523
| Michika Ozeki | Eun Ji Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eun Ji Lee (rating 1443 vs 1523).
- Eun Ji Lee is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Michika Ozeki makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Michika Ozeki | Eun Ji Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-13 | 9.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 56% |
| Break % | 46% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michika Ozeki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Duanrui Gao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Yihan Qu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jahnie Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Milla Kotze W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Jiangxue Han W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhuoxuan Bai W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Meiling Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Eun Ji Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Vaishnavi Adkar W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | BoYoung Jeong W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Funa Kozaki W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Xiran Lan W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Dayeon Back W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Kseniya Yersh W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Juae Shin W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Yuki Naito W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Arina Varaksina W35 Andong · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michika Ozeki vs Eun Ji Lee?
Our model gives 64% to Eun Ji Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.